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brimull's avatar

I agree that a negotiated dismantling of Iran's nuclear program will only happen with regime change. There's just no way it will actually occur without it, despite what Trump may believe. Therefore, I believe two scenarios will have a long term positive outcome: First, the use of bunker-buster type explosives, or a some type of commando assault, so as to completely destroy the underground facilities already constructed. Or second, regime change. The first will not deter the mullahs from pursuing nuclear weapons, but it will drive it far into the future. The second leaves open the possibility of Iran joining the more civilized nations of the world, and perhaps even mitigating the radical Islamist's intrinsic hatred of Jews and other Westerners who they see as the earthly Satan. Anything less than these two scenarios will be a short-lived success at best.

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Doug Israel's avatar

Correct Israel cannot count on it. But if it does find a way to fully destroy theunderground nuclear plant and fully degrade the current march to a nuke, then even if the regime manages to survive, Israel will have accomplished something pretty major. It will have restored the awe and fear that enemies felt. In other words, it will destroy deterrence by demonstrating the scope of Israel's power and its willingness to use it. At the same time it will humiliate and weaken the Mullahs.

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